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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
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Spezia
0 - 4
Torino


Ekdal (11'), N'Zola (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wisniewski (24' og.), Ricci (72'), Ilic (76'), Karamoh (90+6')
Ilic (16'), Singo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Torino

 As Torino are tough to beat when on the road, even taking one point could represent a good result for Spezia - providing Verona fail to get the better of Empoli on Sunday. Neither side scores freely, so a close contest is set to end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawTorino
24.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.13% (0.004999999999999 0) 49.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 47.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)55.53% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)38.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.91% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 24.41%
    Torino 49.45%
    Draw 26.12%
SpeziaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.99%
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.41%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.45%

How you voted: Spezia vs Torino

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
20.8%
Torino
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
gameweek 18
Torino
0-1
Spezia

Djidji (27'), Ricci (75'), Karamoh (90+6')
N'Zola (28' pen.)
Caldara (51'), Bourabia (61'), Nikolaou (90+6')
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Torino
2-1
Spezia
Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
gameweek 37
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
gameweek 18
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913
> Serie A Full Table


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