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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Fiorentina logo

Torino
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Torino have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches after conceding a goal, such has been their lack of precision in the final third. Indeed, the last time they won without keeping a clean sheet was back in October, so if Fiorentina can find the net, these two mid-table teams could stay locked together on points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
26.4% (-0.41 -0.41) 26.13% (0.119 0.12) 47.47% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.68% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.71 -0.71)54.13% (0.716 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.598 -0.6)75.55% (0.60300000000001 0.6)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)35.64% (0.728 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.754 -0.75)72.41% (0.759 0.76)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.163 -0.16)22.8% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (-0.247 -0.25)56.51% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Torino 26.4%
    Fiorentina 47.46%
    Draw 26.13%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 12.01% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.46%

How you voted: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino
53.5%
Draw
23.3%
Fiorentina
23.3%
43
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Jovic (65'), Ikone (90')
Karamoh (90+3')
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Fiorentina
0-1
Torino

Saponara (45'), Duncan (50')
Miranchuk (33')
Ricci (45'), Sanabria (88')
Jan 10, 2022 4pm
gameweek 21
Torino
4-0
Fiorentina
Singo (19'), Brekalo (23', 31'), Sanabria (58')
Djidji (30'), Vojvoda (55')

Martinez (13'), Julio (62')
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Gonzalez (41'), Vlahovic (70')
Castrovilli (22'), Milenkovic (38'), Bonaventura (48'), Vlahovic (66')
Verdi (89')
Djidji (39'), Mandragora (45'), Buongiorno (65'), Aina (80'), Lukic (83')
Jan 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Torino
1-1
Fiorentina
Belotti (88')
Lyanco (37'), Belotti (72')
Ribery (67')
Prandelli (83'), Kouame (84'), Amrabat (90+2')
Castrovilli (61'), Milenkovic (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan22156156193751
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Juventus23913139201940
5Fiorentina22116537231439
6Lazio2212373830839
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma228683328530
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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