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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
0 - 1
AC Milan


Cuadrado (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

Juventus can keep the top-four race interesting until Serie A's final day, as they may be flaky on the road but are an entirely different proposition on Turin turf. Neither side are at the peak of their powers, so a classic is not on the cards - and Milan may be sent home pointless following a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
44.29% (0.83 0.83) 28.16% (0.154 0.15) 27.54% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 44.82% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.951 -0.95)60.76% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.723 -0.72)80.82% (0.718 0.72)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.012 -0.01)27.33% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-1.334 -1.33)38.32% (1.33 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (-1.304 -1.3)75.08% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 44.29%
    AC Milan 27.54%
    Draw 28.16%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 13.58% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
59.8%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
20.7%
87
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')

Cuadrado (26')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus

Leao (12'), Messias (42')

Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 35
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 16
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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