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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

AC Milan
5 - 1
Sampdoria

Leao (9'), Giroud (23', 29' pen., 68'), Diaz (63')
Hernandez (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Quagliarella (20')
Gunter (27'), Zanoli (30'), Oikonomou (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Empoli
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Sampdoria

 As Serie B-bound Sampdoria concede goals at a rate of more than two per game when on the road, even Milan's tired and demoralised front line can score in Saturday's late kickoff. It may be attritional at times, but the hosts will be spurred on by knowing even a fifth-placed finish could secure their Champions League return if Juventus are ultimately docked nine points as expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
77.75% (0.158 0.16) 15.2% (-0.105 -0.11) 7.05% (-0.0531 -0.05)
Both teams to score 39.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (0.278 0.28)43.84% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (0.27 0.27)66.23% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.108 0.11)9.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.47% (0.254 0.25)31.53% (-0.254 -0.25)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.1% (0.038999999999994 0.04)56.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)88.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 77.74%
    Sampdoria 7.05%
    Draw 15.2%
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 14.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 11.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.99% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.31% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 77.74%
1-1 @ 7.11% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.2%
0-1 @ 3% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 7.05%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sampdoria

AC Milan
82.8%
Draw
12.1%
Sampdoria
5.2%
58
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Duricic (57')
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')
Feb 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 25
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Leao (8')
Diaz (19'), Romagnoli (26'), Bennacer (60')

Rincon (10')
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan

Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')
Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Petter Hauge (87')
Saelemaekers (45'), Bennacer (50')
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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