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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Lookman (59')
Scalvini (31'), Hateboer (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bonaventura (4'), Amrabat (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina have been far from convincing thus far, and while Atalanta's standing has been aided by a kind fixture list, the hosts can overcome both their opponents and a dismal home record throughout 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
57.37% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 22.29% (0.02 0.02) 20.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.8% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)44.19% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.57% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)15.16% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)43.76% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)35.67% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56% (-0.032 -0.03)72.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 57.36%
    Fiorentina 20.35%
    Draw 22.28%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Fiorentina
6.0%
134
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
3-0
Fiorentina
Gosens (44'), Malinovskiy (55'), Toloi (63')
Romero (67')

Amrabat (54'), Ribery (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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