Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Sampdoria | 5 | -7 | 2 |
19 | Cremonese | 5 | -5 | 1 |
20 | Monza | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | AC Milan | 5 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Atalanta BC | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Udinese | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
31.09% ( 2.4) | 24.49% ( 0.62) | 44.42% ( -3.01) |
Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.29% ( -1.54) | 44.71% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.93% ( -1.51) | 67.07% ( 1.51) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% ( 0.83) | 27.31% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% ( 1.07) | 62.76% ( -1.06) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% ( -1.87) | 20.25% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.42% ( -3.09) | 52.59% ( 3.1) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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