Monza

0 - 2

Atalanta

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.