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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta


Mourinho (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Scalvini (35')
Maehle (23'), Toloi (47'), Hateboer (55'), Demiral (76'), de Roon (80'), Koopmeiners (87'), Malinovskyi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Roma 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, September 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-1 Atalanta BC

 While their visitors are clearly benefiting from empty midweeks, having failed to qualify for Europe last term, Roma were able to cruise through the latter stages of their Thursday night match after HJK's captain was sent off. Therefore, the combination of home advantage and greater individual ability up front should decide a closely contested affair in the Giallorossi's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
45.23% (0.617 0.62) 28.15% (-0.168 -0.17) 26.63% (-0.449 -0.45)
Both teams to score 44.29% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (0.33 0.33)61.14% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (0.247 0.25)81.1% (-0.245 -0.25)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.477 0.48)27.02% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.619 0.62)62.38% (-0.618 -0.62)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (-0.2 -0.2)39.31% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.187 -0.19)76.02% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Roma 45.23%
    Atalanta BC 26.63%
    Draw 28.14%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.132 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 9.92% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
64.2%
Draw
22.6%
Atalanta BC
13.1%
137
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913
> Serie A Full Table


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