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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Inter logo

Bologna
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Zirkzee (25'), Freuler (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-2 Inter Milan

In what should be a fascinating contest between two red-hot teams, the home side may see their proud home record dented. Inter have shown no signs of slowing their relentless pace, and although Bologna should score at least once, Italy's champions-elect are bound for three more points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
BolognaDrawInter Milan
28.33% (-0.16 -0.16) 27.81% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 43.86% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78% (0.209 0.21)59.22% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36% (0.16 0.16)79.64% (-0.163 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.22200000000001 0.22)26.83% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.29199999999999 0.29)62.13% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 28.33%
    Inter Milan 43.85%
    Draw 27.81%
BolognaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 43.85%

How you voted: Bologna vs Inter Milan

Bologna
15.8%
Draw
23.7%
Inter Milan
60.5%
152
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Inter Milan
1-2
Bologna
Augusto (92')
Aurel Bisseck (90+4'), Darmian (100'), Pavard (103'), Barella (109')
Beukema (112'), Ndoye (116')
Lykogiannis (41'), van Hooijdonk (58'), Fabbian (88')
Oct 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
2-2
Bologna
Acerbi (11'), Martinez (13')
Martinez (58'), Inzaghi (71'), Bastoni (90')
Orsolini (19' pen.), Zirkzee (52')
Ndoye (33'), Ferguson (90+4'), Beukema (90+3')
Feb 26, 2023 11.30am
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Inter Milan
6-1
Bologna
Dzeko (26'), Dimarco (36', 48'), Martinez (42'), Calhanoglu (59' pen.), Gosens (76')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 20
Bologna
2-1
Inter Milan
Arnautovic (28'), Sansone (81')
Arnautovic (55')
Perisic (3')
Inzaghi (31'), Barella (56'), Dumfries (70'), Calhanoglu (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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