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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Juventus

Gatti (37' og.)
Mkhitaryan (51'), Thuram (77'), Inzaghi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlahovic (18'), Danilo (32'), Bremer (87')

The Match

Match Report

Inter Milan record a narrow 1-0 victory over Juventus to move four points clear of their Serie A title rivals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, January 27 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
51.93% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 24.88% (-0.243 -0.24) 23.19% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.3% (1.086 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (1.246 1.25)51.78% (-1.248 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (1.07 1.07)73.55% (-1.071 -1.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.459 0.46)19.92% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93% (0.735 0.73)52.07% (-0.736 -0.74)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (1.002 1)37.18% (-1.002 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (0.979 0.98)73.97% (-0.979 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 51.93%
    Juventus 23.19%
    Draw 24.87%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
54.8%
Draw
26.9%
Juventus
18.3%
208
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Vlahovic (27')
Cambiaso (11'), Kostic (79')
Martinez (33')
Cuadrado (75')
Apr 26, 2023 8pm
Apr 4, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Cuadrado (83')
Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Mar 19, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Juventus
2-0
Inter Milan
Rabiot (52'), Fagioli (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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