Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.8% ( 0.09) | 27.26% ( 0.06) | 38.94% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.39% ( -0.2) | 55.61% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.23% ( -0.17) | 76.77% ( 0.17) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -0.05) | 30.95% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( -0.05) | 67.25% ( 0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -0.18) | 27.81% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.6% ( -0.23) | 63.4% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |