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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Salernitana

Cagliari
4 - 2
Salernitana

Lapadula (12'), Gaetano (40'), Shomurodov (51', 76')
Augello (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kastanos (56'), Maggiore (58')
Kastanos (73'), Sambia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Salernitana

Games between these teams in Serie A produce goals, and Saturday's should be no different, with Cagliari likely to eke out a marginal victory over bottom Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSalernitana
57.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 23.9% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.57% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (0.221 0.22)53.18% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.189 0.19)74.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.3% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.086000000000006 0.09)49.37% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2% (0.256 0.26)42.8% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.216 0.22)79.12% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 57.52%
    Salernitana 18.57%
    Draw 23.89%
CagliariDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.57%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Salernitana

Cagliari
66.0%
Draw
20.0%
Salernitana
14.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Salernitana
2-2
Cagliari
Dia (86', 90+5' pen.)
Kastanos (52'), Martegani (79'), Gyomber (90+11')
Luvumbo (79'), Viola (88')
Prati (71'), Zappa (80'), Deiola (89'), Makoumbou (90+5')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 36
Salernitana
1-1
Cagliari
Verdi (68' pen.)
Bohinen (55'), Zortea (84'), Radovanovic (88'), Perotti (90+6'), Gyomber (90+7')
Ribery (69')
Altare (90+9')
Pavoletti (63'), Cragno (67')
Radunovic (73')
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cagliari
1-1
Salernitana
Pavoletti (73')
Grassi (27'), Henrique (30'), Pavoletti (79')
Bonazzoli (90')
Veseli (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910


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