Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
57.52% ( -0.08) | 23.9% ( -0.02) | 18.57% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.73% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.81% ( 0.22) | 53.18% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.19) | 74.75% ( -0.19) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( 0.05) | 18.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% ( 0.09) | 49.37% ( -0.09) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% ( 0.26) | 42.8% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% ( 0.22) | 79.12% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Napoli | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Fiorentina | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 32 |
6 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
12 | Empoli | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 18 |
17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |