Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
39.53% ( -0.64) | 25.43% ( 0.14) | 35.04% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.03% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.2% ( -0.56) | 47.8% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.01% ( -0.51) | 69.99% ( 0.51) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.57) | 23.9% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% ( -0.83) | 58.1% ( 0.83) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 0.03) | 26.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( 0.04) | 61.52% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |