Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
21.95% (![]() | 22.38% (![]() | 55.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.44% (![]() | 42.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% (![]() | 64.96% (![]() |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% (![]() | 33.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% (![]() | 69.81% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% (![]() | 15.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% (![]() | 43.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.77% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |