Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Cremonese |
40.9% ( 0.88) | 27.19% ( -0.09) | 31.91% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( 0.15) | 55.71% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% ( 0.12) | 76.85% ( -0.12) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.55) | 26.77% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.72) | 62.05% ( -0.72) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.47) | 32.29% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.54) | 68.79% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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