Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Cremonese |
40.9% ( 0.88) | 27.19% ( -0.09) | 31.91% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( 0.15) | 55.71% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% ( 0.12) | 76.85% ( -0.12) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.55) | 26.77% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.72) | 62.05% ( -0.72) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.47) | 32.29% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.54) | 68.79% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |