Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 37 | 35 | 83 |
2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 49 | 81 |
3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Spezia | 37 | -27 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 37 | -41 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
80.28% | 13.18% | 6.55% |
Both teams to score 43.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.98% | 36.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.87% | 58.13% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.01% | 6.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.4% | 25.6% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.07% | 52.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.39% | 86.61% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 13.1% 3-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.34% 4-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-1 @ 4.92% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.35% 6-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.7% Total : 80.28% | 1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.65% Other @ 0.56% Total : 13.18% | 0-1 @ 2.36% 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |