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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Inter logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Inter Milan

With Spezia having all but secured their Serie A status for next season, there is more riding on this fixture for Inter as they bid to keep in touch with Milan at the top. The Nerazzurri were frustrated at the Stadio Alberto Picco last season, but we can see them securing all three points on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
13.08%19.43%67.49%
Both teams to score 48.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03%80.97%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75%12.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03%37.97%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 13.08%
    Inter Milan 67.48%
    Draw 19.43%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.03%
3-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.08%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.43%
0-2 @ 12.16%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-3 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-4 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-5 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.48%

How you voted: Spezia vs Inter Milan

Spezia
14.0%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Milan
72.7%
143
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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