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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Inter logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Inter Milan

With Spezia having all but secured their Serie A status for next season, there is more riding on this fixture for Inter as they bid to keep in touch with Milan at the top. The Nerazzurri were frustrated at the Stadio Alberto Picco last season, but we can see them securing all three points on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
13.08%19.43%67.49%
Both teams to score 48.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03%80.97%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75%12.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03%37.97%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 13.08%
    Inter Milan 67.48%
    Draw 19.43%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.03%
3-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.08%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.43%
0-2 @ 12.16%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-3 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-4 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-5 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.48%

How you voted: Spezia vs Inter Milan

Spezia
14.0%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Milan
72.7%
143
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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