Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
41.64% | 24.2% | 34.17% |
Both teams to score 60.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% | 42.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% | 64.67% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% | 20.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% | 52.94% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% | 24.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% | 58.63% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |