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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 3
AC Milan

Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
28.54%23.69%47.77%
Both teams to score 59.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24%48.76%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 28.54%
    AC Milan 47.77%
    Draw 23.68%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
AC Milan
58.8%
51
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
0-1
AC Milan

Biraghi (34'), Laurini (67')
Dec 22, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 17
AC Milan
0-1
Fiorentina

Suso (77'), Romagnoli (78'), Laxalt (90')
Chiesa (73')
Pezzella (32'), Hugo (42'), Fernandes (62'), Chiesa (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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