Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina2 - 3AC Milan
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
| 28.54% | 23.69% | 47.77% |
| Both teams to score 59.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.59% | 42.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.19% | 64.81% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% | 27.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.53% | 63.47% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% | 17.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.24% | 48.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 28.54%
AC Milan 47.77%
Draw 23.68%
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% 1-0 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.77% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Fiorentina
17.6%Draw
23.5%AC Milan
58.8%51
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
