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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Milan logo

Fiorentina
2 - 3
AC Milan

Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
28.54%23.69%47.77%
Both teams to score 59.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.81%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24%48.76%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 28.54%
    AC Milan 47.77%
    Draw 23.68%
FiorentinaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.01%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.32%
0-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina
17.6%
Draw
23.5%
AC Milan
58.8%
51
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
May 11, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
0-1
AC Milan

Biraghi (34'), Laurini (67')
Dec 22, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 17
AC Milan
0-1
Fiorentina

Suso (77'), Romagnoli (78'), Laxalt (90')
Chiesa (73')
Pezzella (32'), Hugo (42'), Fernandes (62'), Chiesa (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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