Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
66.78% | 19.26% | 13.96% |
Both teams to score 51.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1% | 41.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% | 64.3% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.36% | 11.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.33% | 36.67% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.02% | 41.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% | 78.42% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 4.36% 4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.69% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.24% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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