Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
31.56% ( -0.02) | 28.32% ( -0) | 40.12% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.2% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.08% ( 0.02) | 59.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.82% ( 0.02) | 80.18% ( -0.02) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% | 34.73% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% | 71.46% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% ( 0.02) | 29.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.84% ( 0.03) | 65.16% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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