MX23RW : Monday, May 6 19:54:08| >> :60:1933:1933:
Bayern logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Lazio logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Lazio

Kane (39', 66'), Muller (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romagnoli (80'), Cataldi (89'), Pellegrini (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Kane scores twice as Bayern Munich recover from a 1-0 first-leg defeat to beat Lazio in the Champions League last 16.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawLazio
69.01% (0.00099999999999056 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.07%
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1%9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.01%
    Lazio 13.07%
    Draw 17.92%
Bayern MunichDrawLazio
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 4.79%
4-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.37%
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 69.01%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.92%
1-2 @ 3.78%
0-1 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 13.07%

How you voted: Bayern vs Lazio

Bayern Munich
72.3%
Draw
14.8%
Lazio
13.0%
393
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Lazio
1-0
Bayern
Immobile (69' pen.)

Kimmich (68')
Upamecano (67')
Mar 17, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Bayern
2-1
Lazio
Lewandowski (33' pen.), Maxim Choupo-Moting (73')
Goretzka (48')
Parolo (82')
Radu (26'), Acerbi (31'), Milinkovic-Savic (38'), Correa (70')
Feb 23, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-4
Bayern
Correa (49')
Alberto (28'), Leiva (51'), Correa (57'), Marusic (65'), Escalante (69')
Lewandowski (9'), Musiala (24'), Sane (42'), Acerbi (47' og.)
Kimmich (72'), Coman (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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