Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
41.93% ( -0) | 27.58% | 30.49% |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% ( -0) | 57.57% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% | 78.35% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0) | 62.46% ( 0) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% | 34.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% | 70.97% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |