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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Lecce

Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Lecce

Fiorentina may have failed to score in midweek, but they generally find the target on home soil and should be able to breach Lecce's defence more than once. Boasting an array of attacking options, the Viola are well placed to start the Serie A season with back-to-back wins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLecce
57.86% (0.211 0.21) 23.28% (-0.116 -0.12) 18.87% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.04% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.335 0.34)50.36% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.297 0.3)72.3% (-0.298 -0.3)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.196 0.2)17.15% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.62% (0.345 0.34)47.38% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.087000000000003 0.09)40.82% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (0.077000000000002 0.08)77.39% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 57.85%
    Lecce 18.87%
    Draw 23.27%
FiorentinaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.85%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.87%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina
77.5%
Draw
10.0%
Lecce
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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