Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lecce |
57.86% ( 0.21) | 23.28% ( -0.12) | 18.87% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.04% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% ( 0.34) | 50.36% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% ( 0.3) | 72.3% ( -0.3) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% ( 0.2) | 17.15% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.62% ( 0.34) | 47.38% ( -0.35) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.19% ( 0.09) | 40.82% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.61% ( 0.08) | 77.39% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |