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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Roma logo

Monza
1 - 1
Roma

Caldirola (39')
Ciurria (43'), Izzo (90'), Pessina (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Shaarawy (24')
Mourinho (35'), Cristante (53'), Pellegrini (58'), Dybala (90+3'), Celik (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-1 Roma

Roma came out on top with a three-goal victory the last time that these two sides met, but a tighter affair could be in store on Wednesday considering that Monza have come on leaps and bounds in recent weeks. There is more pressure riding on the visitors to claim maximum points as they endeavour to climb into the top four, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to secure a hard-fought point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MonzaDrawRoma
36.07% (1.077 1.08) 27.41% (0.4 0.4) 36.52% (-1.475 -1.48)
Both teams to score 49.6% (-1.194 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-1.527 -1.53)56.02% (1.53 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-1.255 -1.26)77.1% (1.258 1.26)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)29.71% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.77% (0.10199999999999 0.1)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-1.61 -1.61)29.43% (1.614 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-2.017 -2.02)65.43% (2.02 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Monza 36.06%
    Roma 36.51%
    Draw 27.41%
MonzaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.342 0.34)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.503 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.51%

How you voted: Monza vs Roma

Monza
25.8%
Draw
23.6%
Roma
50.6%
89
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')

Pepin (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma196582624223
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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