Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
57.58% ( 0.25) | 22.65% ( 0.08) | 19.77% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.46% ( -0.81) | 46.53% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.19% ( -0.77) | 68.81% ( 0.76) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% ( -0.2) | 15.89% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.87% ( -0.37) | 45.12% ( 0.36) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% ( -0.82) | 37.6% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.61% ( -0.81) | 74.38% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |