We said: Roma 1-1 Sampdoria
Amid a sense of disarray at the club - with successive Serie A defeats, several suspensions and Jose Mourinho's future all clouding their European exploits - Roma could stumble again.
Samp have little left to lose and can see Sunday's game as a 'free hit' before a series of crucial contests against sides just above them in the table, so a point may be possible.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.