Recent setbacks in Naples should ensure the home side do not have complacency to contend with on Wednesday, and a thoroughly professional approach can help them end the year with successive Serie A wins.
Certainly a weaker team without some integral cogs in Spalletti's machine, Napoli will still be able to exploit Spezia's numerous failings at the back, and despite fielding an improvised back four, they remain one of the best defensive sides in the league.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.89%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
