We said: AC Milan 1-1 Napoli
In what is sure to be an intensely-contested affair, a low-scoring draw could be the outcome, with both sides still diminished by injuries up front. Milan have won six from eight on home soil in Serie A this term, but Napoli have held the edge over them during recent years, and can use their counter-attacking pace and interplay to snatch a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 33.74% | 24.87% | 41.38% |
| Both teams to score 57.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% | 45.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.14% | 67.86% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% | 26.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.72% | 55.28% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 33.74%
Napoli 41.38%
Draw 24.87%
| AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.33% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-1 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.38% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli
AC Milan
55.4%Draw
25.2%Napoli
19.3%202
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
Nov 23, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-1
Napoli
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
