Napoli

2 - 1

Udinese

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.