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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Napoli logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Napoli


Manaj (45+10')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Napoli

Napoli are ending the campaign in good form and depending on how strong Luciano Spalletti decides to go with his team selection, they should finish with three points here. With their survival confirmed, Spezia are unlikely to provide that much of a challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawNapoli
9.85% (-0.0959 -0.1) 15.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04) 74.3% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (-0.12 -0.12)36.8% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (-0.128 -0.13)58.97% (0.126 0.13)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43% (-0.271 -0.27)45.57% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62% (-0.213 -0.21)81.38% (0.211 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)8.44% (-0.0020999999999987 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.68% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 9.85%
    Napoli 74.3%
    Draw 15.84%
SpeziaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 9.85%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.84%
0-2 @ 11.75% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 9.68% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.98% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.96% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 74.3%

How you voted: Spezia vs Napoli

Spezia
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Napoli
77.3%
66
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
Jan 10, 2017 8pm
Napoli
3-1
Spezia
Zielinski (3'), Giaccherini (56'), Gabbiadini (57')
Piccolo (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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