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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 3
Spezia

Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Udinese 2-1 Spezia

Spezia's fight for survival may go down to the final 90 minutes of a testing campaign - depending on the results of their fellow strugglers - as they are likely to return from Friuli empty-handed, given an away record which features just four wins from 18 previous attempts. Also conceding at a rate of over two goals per game on the road, the Aquilotti are set to be denied even a precious point by their hosts, who have improved offensively of late and tend to make the most of home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
61.62% (0.089000000000006 0.09) 20.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.42% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.58% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)34.77% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)71.5% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 61.62%
    Spezia 18.07%
    Draw 20.3%
UdineseDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Spezia
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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