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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Roma logo

Cagliari
1 - 4
Roma

Nandez (87' pen.)
Sulemana (14'), Mourinho (44+44'), Obert (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouar (19'), Lukaku (20', 59'), Belotti (51')
Paredes (11'), Aouar (32'), Mourinho (44'), Bove (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Servette
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 Roma

 Cagliari's wait for a win will go on, as even a Roma side that struggles to produce results on the road should have too much firepower for the Isolani to contain. Further relieving the pressure on Jose Mourinho, the visitors may be injury-hit but are rich in attacking talent and can rack up three straight victories in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawRoma
29.09% (0.833 0.83) 27.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 42.96% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.24% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (0.498 0.5)59.39% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (0.38 0.38)79.77% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.934 0.93)36.32% (-0.94 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.935 0.93)73.1% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.187 -0.19)27.39% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.241 -0.24)62.86% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.08%
    Roma 42.96%
    Draw 27.94%
CagliariDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 12.88% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Roma

Cagliari
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Roma
77.3%
44
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oliveras (33' pen.)
Oliveras (23'), Mancini (39'), Afena-Gyan (58')

Pavoletti (25'), Carboni (27'), Henrique (32'), Altare (70')
> Preview
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Pavoletti (52')
Pedro (73'), Lykogiannis (77'), Bellanova (87')
Ibanez (71'), Pellegrini (78')
Zaniolo (38'), Pellegrini (79'), Abraham (80'), Calafiori (83')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
Lykogiannis (4'), Marin (57'), Pedro (64')
Marin (53'), Pedro (80'), Duncan (90+3')
Perez (27'), Fazio (69')
Cristante (83')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
3-2
Cagliari
Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')
Pedro (59', 90+1')
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
3-4
Roma
Pedro (28', 89'), Pereiro (75')
Pedro (35'), Simeone (69'), Pellegrini (80'), Ragatzu (90')
Kalinic (29', 41'), Kluivert (64'), Mkhitaryan (81')
Under (34'), Villar (55'), Kluivert (78'), Santon (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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