Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Crotone |
66.59% | 17.88% | 15.52% |
Both teams to score 60.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.27% | 31.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.75% | 53.25% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.13% | 8.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.65% | 30.35% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% | 33.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% | 70.03% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Crotone |
2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 7.18% 3-0 @ 7.02% 4-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 4.22% 4-2 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 2.06% 5-2 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.94% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.35% Total : 66.59% | 1-1 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.23% 0-0 @ 2.96% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.29% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-1 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.78% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.7% Total : 15.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |