Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Parma |
63.43% | 20.19% | 16.38% |
Both teams to score 54.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% | 41.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% | 12.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.85% | 38.15% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.72% | 38.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% | 75.04% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.58% Total : 63.43% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |