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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Fiorentina logo

Sampdoria
4 - 1
Fiorentina

Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-2 Fiorentina

Yet to draw a league game at home in 2022, Sampdoria would probably take a point if offered, given the quality of Monday's opposition. However, their relative lack of firepower could cost them, and Fiorentina are set for a rare away win - keeping them in the top-six mix for the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
33.84% (-0.146 -0.15) 25.02% (-0.12 -0.12) 41.14% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.377 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (0.505 0.5)46.17% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (0.477 0.48)68.47% (-0.477 -0.48)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.154 0.15)26.31% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.20500000000001 0.21)61.44% (-0.205 -0.2)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.348 0.35)22.38% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.52 0.52)55.88% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 33.84%
    Fiorentina 41.14%
    Draw 25.01%
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.14%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Fiorentina

Sampdoria
15.8%
Draw
17.5%
Fiorentina
66.7%
120
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
Vlahovic (72')
Quagliarella (42' pen.), Verre (83')
Thorsby (25'), Tonelli (70'), Ekdal (73')
Feb 16, 2020 2pm
Sampdoria
1-5
Fiorentina
Gabbiadini (90')
Murru (19'), Ramirez (22'), Colley (53'), Depaoli (86')
Murru (39')
Thorsby (8' og.), Vlahovic (18' pen., 57'), Chiesa (40' pen., 78')
Vlahovic (20'), Badelj (35'), Duncan (45')
Badelj (45')
Sep 25, 2019 8pm
Fiorentina
2-1
Sampdoria
Pezzella (31'), Chiesa (57')
Henrique (47'), Lirola (88'), Sottil (92'), Pulgar (95')
Bonazzoli (79')
Bereszynski (21'), Vieira (39'), Murillo (43'), Depaoli (76')
Murillo (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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