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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Fiorentina logo

Sampdoria
4 - 1
Fiorentina

Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-2 Fiorentina

Yet to draw a league game at home in 2022, Sampdoria would probably take a point if offered, given the quality of Monday's opposition. However, their relative lack of firepower could cost them, and Fiorentina are set for a rare away win - keeping them in the top-six mix for the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
33.84% (-0.146 -0.15) 25.02% (-0.12 -0.12) 41.14% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.377 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (0.505 0.5)46.17% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (0.477 0.48)68.47% (-0.477 -0.48)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.154 0.15)26.31% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.20500000000001 0.21)61.44% (-0.205 -0.2)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.348 0.35)22.38% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.52 0.52)55.88% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 33.84%
    Fiorentina 41.14%
    Draw 25.01%
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.14%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Fiorentina

Sampdoria
15.8%
Draw
17.5%
Fiorentina
66.7%
120
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
Vlahovic (72')
Quagliarella (42' pen.), Verre (83')
Thorsby (25'), Tonelli (70'), Ekdal (73')
Feb 16, 2020 2pm
Sampdoria
1-5
Fiorentina
Gabbiadini (90')
Murru (19'), Ramirez (22'), Colley (53'), Depaoli (86')
Murru (39')
Thorsby (8' og.), Vlahovic (18' pen., 57'), Chiesa (40' pen., 78')
Vlahovic (20'), Badelj (35'), Duncan (45')
Badelj (45')
Sep 25, 2019 8pm
Fiorentina
2-1
Sampdoria
Pezzella (31'), Chiesa (57')
Henrique (47'), Lirola (88'), Sottil (92'), Pulgar (95')
Bonazzoli (79')
Bereszynski (21'), Vieira (39'), Murillo (43'), Depaoli (76')
Murillo (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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