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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 1, 2022 at 2pm UK
San Siro
Fiorentina logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

Milan and Fiorentina have not drawn a Serie A fixture at San Siro since 2014, but this weekend's encounter could be a close-run affair, given the stakes for either side. An aberration against Inter aside, the Rossoneri have been defensively resolute for the past few months, so they can keep their visitors at arm's length and rely on their established ability to nick points by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
63.31%20.75%15.94%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49%44.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12%66.88%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59%13.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65%40.35%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.3%
    Fiorentina 15.94%
    Draw 20.75%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.3%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.75%
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.94%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
86.0%
Draw
9.0%
Fiorentina
5.0%
100
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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