Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | SPAL |
| 47.81% | 25.6% | 26.58% |
| Both teams to score 51.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% | 51.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% | 73.7% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% | 21.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.09% | 54.91% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% | 34.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Sampdoria 47.81%
SPAL 26.58%
Draw 25.6%
| Sampdoria | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.58% |
