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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Torino
2 - 1
AC Milan

Thiaw (5' og.), Gineitis (76')
Ricci (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reijnders (74')
Musah (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 3-2 Torino
Friday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Feyenoord
Tuesday, February 18 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 1-1 AC Milan

If Milan were hoping for a soft landing after dropping out of Europe, they are unlikely to be provided with one in Turin. Torino are tough to beat - and score past - on home turf, so the Rossoneri may have to settle for a frustrating draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
27.44% (-0.23 -0.23) 28.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 44.24% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 44.36% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.07 -0.07)61.32% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)81.23% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)38.71% (0.23200000000001 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (-0.221 -0.22)75.45% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.096999999999994 0.1)27.62% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (0.12200000000001 0.12)63.15% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Torino 27.44%
    AC Milan 44.23%
    Draw 28.31%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 27.44%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 13.75% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 44.23%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
34.6%
Draw
25.0%
AC Milan
40.4%
52
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
2-2
Torino
Morata (89'), Okafor (90+5')
Jovic (57'), Morata (90'), Saelemaekers (90')
Thiaw (30' og.), Zapata (68')
Ricci (45+3'), Vojvoda (45+2'), Tameze (90'), Dembele (90+7')
May 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Torino
3-1
AC Milan
Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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