Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
56.75% ( -0.39) | 22.78% ( 0.15) | 20.47% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.8% ( -0.34) | 46.19% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% ( -0.32) | 68.49% ( 0.32) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( -0.25) | 16.06% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( -0.46) | 45.42% ( 0.46) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% ( 0.05) | 36.69% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.52% ( 0.05) | 73.48% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.74% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
16 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
17 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |