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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Torino logo

AC Milan
2 - 2
Torino

Morata (89'), Okafor (90+5')
Jovic (57'), Morata (90'), Saelemaekers (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thiaw (30' og.), Zapata (68')
Ricci (45+3'), Vojvoda (45+2'), Tameze (90'), Dembele (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Cosenza
Sunday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Torino

With a few tactical tweaks, Milan could have the squad to make a sustained title challenge, and they are set to continue their San Siro dominance of Torino. Several forward options - including new boy Alvaro Morata and last summer's signings Luka Jovic and Samu Chukwueze - can make an impact, while finding the net is often more of a challenge for the Granata. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
56.75% (-0.394 -0.39) 22.78% (0.152 0.15) 20.47% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (-0.337 -0.34)46.19% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (-0.32 -0.32)68.49% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.253 -0.25)16.06% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.462 -0.46)45.42% (0.459 0.46)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05)36.69% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.053999999999998 0.05)73.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.74%
    Torino 20.47%
    Draw 22.78%
AC MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.74%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.092 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.47%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Torino

AC Milan
94.0%
Draw
5.0%
Torino
1.0%
100
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Torino
3-1
AC Milan
Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Torino
2-1
AC Milan
Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Messias (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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