Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
45.48% | 25.75% | 28.77% |
Both teams to score 52.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.75% | 51.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% | 73.09% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% | 22.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% | 32.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% | 68.74% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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