Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Salernitana
43.62% ( 0.11)	28.99% ( -0.03)	27.39% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 42.62% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.52% (

0.07)

63.47% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.19% (

0.05)

82.81% (

-0.05)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

0.09)

28.99% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

0.11)

64.89% (

-0.11)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03% (

-0.03)

39.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.37% (

-0.02)

76.62% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 43.61%

Salernitana 27.39%

Draw 28.97%

Carrarese	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.97%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 27.39%