Cesena

2 - 0

Catanzaro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.