Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.