Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 2-1 Perugia
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Como | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Pisa | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Perugia | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Brescia | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Genoa | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Ascoli |
41.04% ( 0.43) | 28.55% ( 0.07) | 30.4% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 45.16% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.97% ( -0.38) | 61.02% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( -0.29) | 81.01% ( 0.28) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 0.06) | 29.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.82% ( 0.07) | 65.17% ( -0.08) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.58) | 36.19% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.03% ( -0.6) | 72.97% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
Perugia 41.03%
Ascoli 30.39%
Draw 28.55%
| Perugia | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.39% |
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Perugia
Iliev (16'), Falasco (41'), Caligara (85')
Jun 21, 2020 7.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Perugia
Brosco (33'), Troiano (40'), Leali (62'), Sernicola (90+3')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Perugia
1-1
Ascoli
Scamacca (33')
Jan 26, 2019 2pm
Ascoli
0-3
Perugia
Addae (24'), Laverone (50'), Brosco (82')
Verre (51' pen.), Kwang-Song (56'), Falzerano (90')
Michael (16'), Dragomir (26'), Gyomber (38'), Felicioli (68')
Michael (16'), Dragomir (26'), Gyomber (38'), Felicioli (68')
