Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.