Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.