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Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 1
Ascoli

Vignali (12'), Hristov (52')
Nagy (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodriguez (24')
Streng (17')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Reggiana 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Lecco
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAscoli
46.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)27.87%25.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 44.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.14%80.86%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)40.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.72% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 46.57%
    Ascoli 25.55%
    Draw 27.86%
SpeziaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Ascoli
1-2
Spezia
Bellusci (51')
Bellusci (32'), Castori (32'), D'Uffizi (53'), Haveri (90+3')
Verde (22' pen.), Hristov (89')
Cassata (31'), Amian (53'), Zurkowski (77')
Feb 15, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 24
Spezia
3-1
Ascoli
Mastinu (66'), Gyasi (74'), N'Zola (86')
Ferrer (29'), Mora (49'), Ricci (60'), N'Zola (87')
Morosini (30')
Troiano (26'), Sernicola (43'), Scamacca (90')
Troiano (55')
Sep 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 5
Ascoli
3-0
Spezia
Ninkovic (4' pen.), Da Cruz (45'), Ardemagni (60')
Ardemagni (18'), Ninkovic (20'), Padoin (80')

Ramos (3'), Vignali (44'), Gyasi (55')
Ramos (53')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Spezia
3-2
Ascoli
Galabinov (51' pen., 80'), Okereke (57')
Augello (58'), Maggiore (90')
Brosco (17'), Ardemagni (34')
Ninkovic (44')
Ninkovic (44'), Addae (86')
Dec 1, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 14
Ascoli
3-1
Spezia
Ardemagni (1'), Cavion (46'), Padella (90')
Ninkovic (48'), Lanni (90'), Padella (90')
Ninkovic (49')
Okereke (55')
Okereke (56')
Bidaoui (68')
rhs 2.0


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