MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:11:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Aluminij

Maribor
1 - 0
Aluminij

Jakupovic (65')
Lorber (4'), Milec (76')
Lorber (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gorenak (87')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and Aluminij.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawAluminij
54.79% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11) 22.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.12% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.28% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.071999999999996 0.07)39.85% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.076000000000001 0.08)62.21% (-0.073 -0.07)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)14.52% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)42.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Aluminij Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.12599999999999 0.13)30.66% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.148 0.15)66.9% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 54.79%
    Aluminij 23.12%
    Draw 22.09%
MariborDrawAluminij
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 6% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 23.12%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana1811612662039
2Maribor1896331141733
3Koper18103527141333
4Celje189453226631
5NK BravoBravo188642618830
6Primorje187382028-824
7NS Mura186392225-321
8Radomlje185492024-419
9NK DomzaleDomzale1824121340-2710
10Nafta1823131133-229


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