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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Besiktas

Fenerbahce
2 - 4
Besiktas

Valencia (41' pen.), Kahveci (90+5')
Akaydin (30'), Hakan Yandas (37'), Osayi-Samuel (45+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tosun (58', 62'), Redmond (75'), Aboubakar (90+1')
Welinton (28'), Aboubakar (30'), Colley (45+2'), Maxim (75'), Maxim (75+75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-3 Fenerbahce
Sunday, March 19 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Besiktas

All competitions
Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, March 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas

 Fenerbahce are coming into this game in great form in the Super Lig, but we feel injuries to Batshuayi and Valencia will severely affect their offensive threat on Sunday. Besiktas are unbeaten on the road against Fenerbahce since 2019, and we believe Gunes's men will continue that run with a victory this time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
56.92% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 21.17% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 21.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.02% (-0.133 -0.13)36.98% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)59.16% (0.142 0.14)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)12.9% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.69% (-0.138 -0.14)39.31% (0.135 0.13)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.24% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 56.92%
    Besiktas 21.9%
    Draw 21.17%
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Besiktas

Fenerbahce
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Besiktas
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Besiktas
0-0
Fenerbahce

Crespo (42')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Besiktas
1-1
Fenerbahce
Ghezzal (31' pen.)
Souza (29'), Welinton (36'), Ghezzal (45+2'), Destanoglu (45+4'), N'Koudou (89'), Yilmaz (90+3')
Novak (6')
Kahveci (29'), Hakan Yandas (45+4'), Kadioglu (90+2')
Dec 19, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-2
Besiktas
Ozil (14' pen.), Berisha (30')
Szalai (74'), Aziz (78')
Souza (25', 59')
Bozdogan (43'), Yilmaz (69'), Batshuayi (78'), Ozyakup (88'), Ghezzal (90+1')
Mar 21, 2021 4pm
Besiktas
1-1
Fenerbahce
Vida (48')
Larin (35'), Ghezzal (90+3')
Tufan (89')
Samatta (31'), Valencia (47'), Aziz (58'), Sosa (79'), Pelkas (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 4pm
Fenerbahce
3-4
Besiktas
Cisse (34'), Tufan (68', 90+6' pen.)
Tisserand (15'), Pelkas (38'), Hakan Yandas (53'), Gustavo (63'), Tufan (90'), Lemos (90+8')
Aboubakar (4', 20'), Uysal (54'), N'Sakala (88')
Larin (25'), Yalcin (45+2'), Rosier (90'), Souza (90+8')
Larin (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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