Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı
Kayserispor1 - 2Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Giresunspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Kayserispor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Despite the recent uptick in home results, the broader inspection of the outcome of Kayserispor's games in Kayseri does not inspire much confidence in their ability to end Fener's unbeaten streak. The visitors are unbeaten since their 3-0 thrashing by title rivals Galatasaray and five without defeat is expected to become six without losing on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
23.11% ( -0.16) | 21.62% ( -0.05) | 55.27% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% ( 0.07) | 37.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.18% ( 0.08) | 59.82% ( -0.08) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.09) | 29.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.6% ( -0.1) | 65.4% ( 0.1) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.09) | 13.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.27% ( 0.18) | 40.72% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Kayserispor 23.11%
Fenerbahce 55.27%
Draw 21.62%
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.11% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 55.27% |
How you voted: Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce
Kayserispor
21.4%Draw
7.1%Fenerbahce
71.4%14
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2022 2pm
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Form Guide
